The gains this week by the Sunni insurgents in Iraq’s has been called a ‘disaster’ by people on the ground in Iraq. It has become clear that Nouri al-Maliki, the Shiite prime minister of Iraq, has lost the confidence not only of his army, who are running away from the fight, but the whole nation.
At this point it is unclear what is about to happen. Senator John McCain calls for Bush’s ‘old team’ of commanders to take over and for the President to fire his advisors. The same people that brought us to Iraq under false pretences. There is an awful sense of deja-vu in Washington, at least in Mccains brain.
But no matter how many weapons the Obama administration sends to Iraq, or how many wars Mccain would like to start (or restart), at the moment it is very unclear what is going to happen, except a very bloody civil war. The Obama administration says it will not rule anything out, but we don’t know if this means drones, and it certainly won’t mean ground troops.
There are very limited US troops in Iraq as Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki refused to sign the SOFA (Status of forces agreement) with the U.S. and made it impossible for troops to stay behind to help Nouri al-Maliki.
This is a decision he is now regretting sources say, as the noose gets tighter around larger and larger cities in Iraq. Iraq is now a hotbed of extremism and nobody knows how to protect the people and the Iraqi troops have been seen abandoning their uniforms and posts.
The al-Queda type group responsible for this insurgency is called ISIS, a group known for beheadings and horrifying violence.
Now that ISIS Militants’ offensive spreads south and towards the capital, the fear in Baghdad is palatable according to news sources on the ground.
The next few weeks should tell the story. Reports are ISIS is holding positions around major cities while they restock weapons before a major offensive. It is not clear whether the U.S. will use drones or support the government with air strikes, but the National Security team is now weighing the options.
The problem becomes, once the U.S. helps the Iraqi Government repel this insurgency, when will it ever stop? We have seen already, it doesn’t. 1000 year sectarian war will not end with any kind of help America can provide.
The horror the Bush administration created,the Obama administration will have to carefully navigate as a war weary nation watches.
My series of reports on Iraq will continue as the situation changes.